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Steffan Antonas

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Category Trendspotting

Trends That Are Influencing The Future Of Work

Now that we’ve got the technology to connect in real time, 24/7 to anyone with an internet connection, more and more organizations are reaching out across the globe to find the very best people they can to get things done. Likewise, people with talent are collaborating with teams remotely and seeking meaningful work across the globe. Technology and the web are giving people and organizations an unprecedented amount of access to ideas, education and each other. The question is…are you ready to embrace these trends and adapt?

The following presentation “The Future Of Work” was shared by Jeff Brenman. It’s designed to be read and offers a quick, visual overview of trends we can expect that are changing how we’ll work and compete for jobs in the coming years. Here are some of the trends -

  • Individuals will have more power and freedom than ever before
  • Informal education is more available and accessible via the web. Degrees will matter less.
  • There’s no longer an excuse to “not know how”. Self-teaching and resourcefulness will be make-or-break skills.
  • The future of work is flat – You’ll work with project teams around the world.
  • Employers will have on-demand access to a larger and more skilled workforce. Competition for jobs and work will no longer be tied to where you live.
  • Transparency in work history and performance feedback will become the new resume.
  • Better tools will continue to revolutionize productivity management/measurement.
  • Your earning potential will be based on merit, not location.
  • To stay employed in the workplace of the future, you’ll have to work hard to stand out.
  • No one is going to guarantee you a lifetime career. Accept it and adapt.
The Future Of Work

View more documents from Jeff Brenman.
  • October 28, 2009
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Hitwise Data Shows That We’re All Twittered Out

Some fresh Hitwise data posted by Bill Tancer just a few weeks ago indicates that Twitter might have hit a wall and is now on the decline. Just as Twitter secured an additional $100 million in financing, which would place the company’s valuation in the $1 billion range, Bill dug into the data to take a quick look at Twitter’s market share of visits to see if the hype is matched by site traffic. I’ve included 2 of the key graphs here – Marketshare of Visits (U.S.) to Twitter.com and search volume for “Twitter”. In both visits and searches, Twitter appears to have hit a resistance point as of April 2009, which validates the feeling expressed by many heavy users that engagement seems to be falling off of late.

It should be noted that the chart immediately below indicates visits to Twitter’s website, and does not include application and mobile traffic. That being said, even without application and mobile data, visits to the main Twitter domain should have some correlation to new user adoption. If this interests you, please head over to Bill’s post and start a discussion – perhaps he’ll be nice enough to run the reports again as of this week so that we can get a better idea of whether this is just a temporary setback Twitter is experiencing, or not. My guess is that with the addition of Twitter lists, you’ll see a spike this week back to Twitter.com, but that it’ll be a spike, not necessarily the start of an upward trend.

Marketshare Of Visits (U.S.) to Twitter.com

twitter_hitwise

Search Volume (U.S.) for “Twitter”

twitter-search-vol

  • October 19, 2009
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Facebook Maps Their Growth To 250 Million

The Facebook team put this visualization together with their internal data and posted it today. Watch how Facebook has grown to 250 million users around the world starting starting in Boston, MA. If you’re read “Accidental Billionaires: The Founding Of Facebook – A Tale of Sex, Money, Genius and Betrayal”, the visualization of the growth to 50 million puts the second half of the book in pretty sharp perspective.

  • September 15, 2009
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An In-Depth Look at the Most Active Users on Twitter

sysomos-logo150x68When Sysomos published its initial “Inside Twitter” report last month that looked at the people on Twitter and how it was being used, we discovered that 5% of users accounted for 75% of all activity. This finding was based on indexing 11.5 million accounts, and then looking at the top 5% users who accounted for most number of Tweets. Now they’ve taken it a step further and done an in-depth analysis of that top 5%. Here are some of the highlights of the findings…

  • BOTS Tweet The Most: Of the most active Twitter users updating more than 150 times/day, nearly all of them are bots operated by sources such as hotels offering deals, regional and national news services, regional weather services, the top news within Digg, games, anim services, tags within del.icio.us and financial aggregators. These very active bots account for one-quarter of all tweets.
  • 4 Of The Top 5 People That Tweet The Most Are Celebrities: Among the most active Twitter users with more than 50,000 followers, we find singer Tyrese (@tyrese4real), actress Alyssa Milano (@alyssa_milano), celebrity Tila Tequila (@officialtila), tv host Jonathan Ross (@wossy) and evangelist Guy Kawasaki (@guykawasaki).
  • The Most Active Users Live In the U.S. - 60.6% of the most active Twitter users live in the United States, while 6.9% are located in the U.K, 4.7% in Japan, and 4.3% in Canada.
  • The Top Men Tweet More Than The Top Women: The split between genders among the most active Twitter users is fairly balanced, but the men post more – 54% male, 46% female.
  • They Rarely Miss A Day – 88% of the most active Twitter users have never missed a day without making at least one update, while another 2.1% have only been inactive for one day.
  • Only Half Of Them Have More Than 100 Followers: 48% have more than 100 followers, compared with 6.3% for overall Twitter users.
  • They Follow More People Than The Average User: 44% have more than 100 friends, compared with 7.5% overall.
  • Most Of Them Are Veterans: 33.7% of the most active Twitter users have joined Twitter this year, compared with 72.5% of overall Twitter users who have signed up this year
  • A Higher Percentage Of Their Tweets Get Retweeted: In examining more than 80 million updates made since July 23, ReTweets among the most active users accounted for 5.06% of their activity – about 20% higher than overall users which is 4.02%. Given that some of these people are Tweeting as much as 30-50 times a day, this is quite surprising. It gives some indication that for all the noise they’re adding to the ecosystem, they’re adding more (perceived) value than most.
  • August 7, 2009
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How Different Groups Of Americans Spend Their Day

Ever wonder what the average American day is actually like? The New York Times published an interactive visualization this week based on data gathered in the American Time Use Survey in 2008 that shows how different groups in the US spend their day. Below are some of the key insights from the survey on the different groups. Not surprisingly, the most striking differences in time usage were between the employed and unemployed…

How Different Groups Spend Their Day

spend their day

Key Demographic Insights From The Survey

  • Everyone: Sleeping, eating, working and watching television take up about two-thirds of the average day.
  • Men: Working peaks around 11 a.m., when 40 percent of men are at work. (On weekdays, 70 percent of men with a job are working at that time.)
  • Women: At any point during the average day, more than 80 percent of women are doing something other than household chores or caring for children.  Together, chores and child care peak around 6 p.m.
  • The Employed: At 6 a.m., about 60 percent of employed people are sleeping, compared with more than 80 percent of those who are unemployed.
  • The Unemployed: On average, the unemployed spend about a half-hour looking for work. They tidy the house, do laundry and yard work for more than two hours, about an hour more than the employed.
  • People Not In The Labor Force: People who are not part of the labor force (a mix of the young, old, homemakers and others) spend about four hours watching television, 50 minutes more than the unemployed.
  • White: Whites spend about 25 minutes reading for personal interest (shown here with other leisure activities), more than twice as much as other Americans.
  • African Americans: Blacks spend 17 minutes a day (or about two hours a week) on religious activities, more than twice as much as other Americans.
  • Hispanics: Hispanics and whites are equally likely to be dining at noon, but hispanics are 1.5 times LESS likely to be eating at 6:30 p.m., the peak dinner time.
  • Ages 15-24: About half of this group is enrolled in school. While the young spend the most time on the telephone, they spend the least time on calls to family members.
  • Ages 25 to 64: About 75 percent of this group — including two-thirds of women — is employed.
  • Ages 65 and over: At 2 p.m., about 1 in 15 people over age 65 is asleep. Older people also spend more time eating (particularly breakfast).
  • High School Grads: At 3 a.m., more than 2 percent of people with only a high school diploma (or some college) are working, double the rate for people with bachelor’s degrees.
  • People With Bachelor’s Degrees: College graduates spend about two hours watching television, significantly less than those with less education.
  • People With Advanced Degrees: Those with advanced degrees spend the most time volunteering: 14 minutes a day (or more than an hour and a half a week), on average.
  • People With No Children: Adults living with no children tend to be older: their average age is 51, compared with 38 for adults living with children.
  • People With One Child: At 8:30 a.m., more than 20 percent of the adults living with one child are asleep, compared with 15 percent of those living with two or more children.
  • People with Two or More Children: Compared with people living with one child, those with two or more children spend an additional half-hour caring for family members.

For the Unemployed, the Day Stacks Up Differently

The data across most groups is the same, until you isolate the unemployed. Nearly 1 in 10 members of the American work force is currently unemployed right now, which is significant, considering the unemployment rate hasn’t been that high in 27 years. The survey showed that on an average weekday, the unemployed sleep an hour more than their employed peers. They tidy the house, do laundry and yard work for more than two hours, twice as much as the employed. The unemployed also spend an extra hour in the classroom and an additional 70 minutes in front of the television. Personally, I was a bit surprised to see that the unemployed generally only spend a half hour job hunting, and replace “work” so heavily with household activities.

the unemployedthe employed

TV and Movies Vs. Computer Usage

One of the most surprising insights that the Times analysts never mention is the shockingly small amount of “Computer Use” people report throughout the day as a leisure activity. Across the board, all demographic groups seem to still spend the majority of their free time in front of the tube. I’d expect this from employed knowledge workers (who probably use the computer all day at work and would prefer to do something else in the evening, but even at peak times (10am-12pm) do we see anything more than 1-2% of the unemployed using the computer “as an activity”, for entertainment or otherwise. It’ll be interesting to see if this shifts as entertainment options on the web become further integrated into mainstream tv-like experiences.

computer usage

  • August 6, 2009
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Interactive World Map Of Social Network Dominance

worldmapsocialnetdominance

Vincenzo Cosenza has mapped the most popular social networks by country, according to traffic data gathered on Alexa & Google Trends (June 2009). While Facebook’s growing dominance over MySpace in the US and other countries comes as no surprise, it is interesting to see the few smaller networks that most of us have probably never heard of that are country specific. It’s also important to note that that while Facebook is all the rage in the west, QQ (China) is still by far the largest social network in the world (300 million active accounts). As people continue to focus their time and energy on dominant networks, and the successful networks grow and take over, you’ll likely see many of these smaller social networks die out. It’ll be most interesting to see what happens if and when China becomes more open over time. We tend to forget about large networks like QQ and companies like BIDU that dominate the waking giant.

The Current Snapshot:

  • Facebook is continues to dominate globe, especially in the west and other english-speaking regions, with more than 200 millions users.
  • QQ, leader in China, is the largest social network of the world (300 millions active accounts)
  • MySpace Still leads in Guam
  • V Kontakte Still dominates Russian-speaking territories
  • Orkut is strong in India and Brazil
  • Hi5 is still leading in Peru, Colombia, Ecuador and other scattered countries such as Portugal, Mongolia, Romania
  • Odnoklassniki is strong in some former territories of the Soviet Union
  • Maktoob is the most important Arab community/portal
  • Friendster is still rocking in the Philippines (remember Friendster?)

Read More

  • August 4, 2009
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5 Unmissable TED Talks On The Future Of Technology And The Web

#1 Tim Berners-Lee On The Next Web of Open, Linked Data

20 years ago, Tim Berners-Lee invented the World Wide Web. For his next project, he’s building a web for open, linked data that could do for numbers what the Web did for words, pictures, video: Unlock our data and reframe the way we use it together. (Recorded at TED2009, February 2009)

#2 Jeff Bezos On The Next Web Innovation

As founder and CEO of Amazon.com, Jeff Bezos defined online shopping and rewrote the rules of commerce, ushering in a new era in business. Time magazine named him Man of the Year in 1999. The dot-com boom and bust Bezos led is often compared to the Gold Rush. But Jeff says it’s more like the early days of the electric industry.

#3 Kevin Kelly on the next 5,000 days of the web

Kevin Kelly, exec editor at WIRED and founder of visionary nonprofits,  shares a fun stat: The World Wide Web, as we know it, is only 5,000 days old. Now, Kelly asks, how can we predict what’s coming in the next 5,000 days?

#4 Yochai Benkler On Open-source economics

Law professor Yochai Benkler explains how collaborative projects like Wikipedia and Linux represent the next stage of human organization. By disrupting traditional economic production, copyright law and established competition, they’re paving the way for a new set of economic laws, where empowered individuals are put on a level playing field with industry giants.

#5 Ray Kurzweil On How Technology Will Transform Us

Inventor, entrepreneur and visionary Ray Kurzweil explains in abundant, grounded detail why, by the 2020s, we will have reverse-engineered the human brain and nanobots will be operating your consciousness.

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  • July 30, 2009
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Trendspotting At Web 2.0 Expo

Thanks to AdaptiveBlue for the awesome Glue swag!I recently spent a week at the Web 2.0 Expo in San Francisco, CA. I had a ball. There’s something (dare I say Worldchanging?) about the O’Reilly events this year. There’s a sense of community, shared responsibility and agency in the air. It’s one thing to be social in the blogosphere and participate in online communities…but it’s quite another to be physically present among this many smart people clustered together, sharing their data, ideas and experiences. Over the course of the week I saw a number of presentations that echoed common ideas about what’s going on right now, and what forces the major players are responding to.  Here are 5 of the most noteworthy trends:

Local Is The New Global

Consumers are increasingly taking a look at their lives through a local-lens and using the web as an information resource to improve their offline experiences and purchasing power. The emergence of mobile phones as computer devices (i.e. GPS-enabled iPhones etc) lines are blurring the lines between online offerings and on-the-go, real-world ones. Geolocation services on mobile devices, as well as off-line meetups organized online, embedded mapping and “find near you” services on the web are hightening people’s awareness about what’s around them and getting them out of the house, building communities in their local areas. Read More

  • April 17, 2009
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